PropPlayers › WR › NO
Should I start Bryce Lance in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NO vs ATL · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Bryce Lance in Week 4 unless Chris Olave is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 1.6 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 10% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR103 | Sit | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR105 | Sit | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.3 |
| Standard | WR105 | Sit | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 |
Game environment: NO market-implied team total 24.8 vs 23.2 for ATL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 6% target share, 0% carry share, 73% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): KaVontae Turpin (WR103), Tory Horton (WR104), Austin Trammell (WR106), Konata Mumpfield (WR107).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings