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Should I start Carnell Tate in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Carnell Tate WR49 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TEN vs BAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 5.3 points, floor 2.1 (p10), ceiling 9.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR48 (median 7.2). Standard: WR52 (median 3.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR48 | Sit | 7.2 | 2.8 | 12.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR49 | Sit | 5.3 | 2.1 | 9.7 |
| Standard | WR52 | Sit | 3.4 | 1.2 | 7.1 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 26% target share, 0% carry share, 84% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Jakobi Meyers (WR47), Rome Odunze (WR48), Xavier Worthy (WR50), Tre' Harris (WR51).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings