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Should I start Jaylen Wright in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · MIA vs MIN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jaylen Wright RB44 in half-PPR for Week 4 (MIA vs MIN): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.1 points, floor 0.9 (p10), ceiling 9.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB44 (median 4.7). Standard: RB43 (median 3.6).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB44 | Sit | 4.7 | 0.9 | 10.6 |
| Half-PPR | RB44 | Sit | 4.1 | 0.9 | 9.9 |
| Standard | RB43 | Sit | 3.6 | 0.7 | 9.3 |
Game environment: MIA market-implied team total 14.2 vs 24.2 for MIN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 0% target share, 6% carry share, 6% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Bam Knight (RB42), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB43), Kenny Gainwell (RB45), Jawhar Jordan (RB46).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings