What is Joshua Palmer's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 1.7, ceiling 5.7. PPR: 0.0 / 2.2 / 6.6. Standard: 0.0 / 1.1 / 4.9. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › WR › BUF

Should I start Joshua Palmer in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:48 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit Joshua Palmer in Week 4 unless DJ Moore is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 1.7 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 6% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Ceiling p85
PPR	WR102	Sit	2.2	6.6
Half-PPR	WR101	Sit	1.7	5.7
Standard	WR101	Sit	1.1	4.9

Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API).

Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Dohnte Meyers (WR99), Chris Moore (WR100), Calvin Ridley (WR102), KaVontae Turpin (WR103).

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings