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Should I start Kaleb Johnson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · GB vs TB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Kaleb Johnson RB56 in half-PPR for Week 4 (GB vs TB): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.0 points, floor 0.5 (p10), ceiling 6.4 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB60 (median 3.2). Standard: RB53 (median 2.7).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB60 | Sit | 3.2 | 0.5 | 6.8 |
| Half-PPR | RB56 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.5 | 6.4 |
| Standard | RB53 | Sit | 2.7 | 0.4 | 6.0 |
Game environment: GB market-implied team total 21.0 vs 18.0 for TB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 3% target share, 44% carry share, 32% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Ty Johnson (RB54), Tyjae Spears (RB55), Zavier Scott (RB57), Phil Mafah (RB58).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings