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Should I start Keon Coleman in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Keon Coleman WR71 in half-PPR for Week 4 (BUF vs NE): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.5 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 8.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR71 (median 4.6). Standard: WR72 (median 2.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR71 | Sit | 4.6 | 0.0 | 10.3 |
| Half-PPR | WR71 | Sit | 3.5 | 0.0 | 8.6 |
| Standard | WR72 | Sit | 2.4 | 0.0 | 7.0 |
Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 11% target share, 0% carry share, 57% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Cooper Kupp (WR69), Germie Bernard (WR70), Kayshon Boutte (WR72), Tez Johnson (WR73).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings