PropPlayers › WR › NE
Should I start Mack Hollins in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NE vs BUF · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Mack Hollins WR35 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NE vs BUF): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 6.9 points, floor 1.7 (p10), ceiling 14.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR35 (median 8.7). Standard: WR35 (median 4.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR35 | Borderline | 8.7 | 2.3 | 17.7 |
| Half-PPR | WR35 | Borderline | 6.9 | 1.7 | 14.9 |
| Standard | WR35 | Borderline | 4.8 | 0.9 | 12.4 |
Game environment: NE market-implied team total 21.5 vs 28.5 for BUF (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 19% target share, 0% carry share, 72% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Mack Hollins vs similar WRs
- Mack Hollins or DJ Moore? Mack Hollins outscores DJ Moore in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Mack Hollins or DK Metcalf? Mack Hollins outscores DK Metcalf in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): DJ Moore (WR33), DK Metcalf (WR34), Devaughn Vele (WR36), Khalil Shakir (WR37).
Compare Mack Hollins with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings