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Should I start MarShawn Lloyd in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · GB vs TB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks MarShawn Lloyd RB34 in half-PPR for Week 4 (GB vs TB): sit in a 12-team league. Median 5.4 points, floor 0.8 (p10), ceiling 14.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB34 (median 6.1). Standard: RB33 (median 4.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB34 | Sit | 6.1 | 0.9 | 14.9 |
| Half-PPR | RB34 | Sit | 5.4 | 0.8 | 14.2 |
| Standard | RB33 | Sit | 4.9 | 0.6 | 13.7 |
Game environment: GB market-implied team total 21.0 vs 18.0 for TB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 5% target share, 47% carry share, 31% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB32), RJ Harvey (RB33), Kyle Monangai (RB35), Woody Marks (RB36).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings