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Should I start Matthew Golden in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · GB vs TB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Matthew Golden WR31 in half-PPR for Week 4 (GB vs TB): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 7.4 points, floor 2.1 (p10), ceiling 14.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR31 (median 9.2). Standard: WR30 (median 5.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR31 | Borderline | 9.2 | 2.7 | 17.7 |
| Half-PPR | WR31 | Borderline | 7.4 | 2.1 | 14.9 |
| Standard | WR30 | Borderline | 5.5 | 1.3 | 12.2 |
Game environment: GB market-implied team total 21.0 vs 18.0 for TB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 25% target share, 0% carry share, 83% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Luther Burden III (WR29), Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR30), Darius Slayton (WR32), DJ Moore (WR33).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings