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Should I start Xavier Hutchinson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · HOU vs DAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Xavier Hutchinson WR58 in half-PPR for Week 4 (HOU vs DAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.3 points, floor 1.0 (p10), ceiling 10.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR59 (median 5.5). Standard: WR57 (median 3.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR59 | Sit | 5.5 | 1.2 | 11.8 |
| Half-PPR | WR58 | Sit | 4.3 | 1.0 | 10.0 |
| Standard | WR57 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.7 | 8.3 |
Game environment: HOU market-implied team total 25.8 vs 22.8 for DAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 19% target share, 3% carry share, 64% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Michael Pittman (WR56), Rashod Bateman (WR57), Roman Wilson (WR59), Ted Hurst III (WR60).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings