PropWeek 4 games › LAC at SEA
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
The market implies 17.8 points for LAC and 24.8 for SEA. Our model projects Justin Herbert (LAC vs SEA) for a median 238 passing yards (FanDuel line 199.5; 10th-90th percentile 155-325) and 17 rushing yards (FanDuel line 20.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-47) in Week 4. Our model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA vs LAC) for a median 81 receiving yards (FanDuel line 93.5; 10th-90th percentile 30-174) and 6 receptions (FanDuel line 6.5; 10th-90th percentile 3-10) in Week 4.
Los Angeles Chargers
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB21 | Justin Herbert | SEA | 14.4 | 7.1 | 22.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 238 passing yards, 17 rushing yards |
| RB26 | Omarion Hampton | SEA | 7.9 | 2.9 | 15.7 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 43 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards |
| WR26 | Ladd McConkeyQ | SEA | 7.5 | 2.0 | 15.4 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 45 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR38 | Quentin Johnston | SEA | 6.1 | 1.4 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 36 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR40 | Tre' Harris | SEA | 6.0 | 1.4 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 35 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE22 | Oronde Gadsden II | SEA | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 23 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| RB51 | Keaton Mitchell | SEA | 2.6 | 0.2 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | |
| WR84 | Theo Wease Jr. (limited) | SEA | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 | |
| RB70 | Amar Johnson | SEA | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | |
| RB72 | Kimani Vidal | SEA | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | |
| WR149 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling (limited) | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB104 | Alec Ingold (limited) | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE78 | Hayden Rucci (limited) | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR140 | Gary Jennings (limited) | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB110 | Gregory Desrosiers (limited) | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Seattle Seahawks
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | LAC | 14.0 | 5.1 | 26.9 | 17.2 | 11.0 | 81 receiving yards, 6 receptions |
| QB23 | Sam Darnold | LAC | 13.7 | 6.1 | 23.3 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 240 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| RB19 | Emanuel Wilson | LAC | 9.4 | 2.9 | 19.2 | 9.7 | 9.1 | 48 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE16 | AJ Barner | LAC | 5.0 | 0.9 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 25 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB37 | George Holani | LAC | 4.9 | 0.6 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 15 rushing yards, 7 receiving yards |
| WR59 | Cooper Kupp | LAC | 4.0 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 21 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR67 | Rashid Shaheed | LAC | 3.3 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 17 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| RB65 | Jacardia Wright | LAC | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | |
| QB35 | Drew Lock (backup) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR119 | Tory Horton (limited) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE67 | Eric Saubert (limited) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE62 | Elijah Arroyo (limited) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE81 | Brady Russell (limited) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR134 | Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (limited) | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board