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Deion Burks Week 4 projection, props and start/sit
Week 4, 2026 · IND vs WAS · game projections · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET ·
PropSims says sit Deion Burks in Week 4 unless Josh Downs is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 0.9 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 2% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR105 | Sit | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.1 |
| Half-PPR | WR104 | Sit | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.3 |
| Standard | WR104 | Sit | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 |
Game environment: IND market-implied team total 25.5 vs 21.0 for WAS (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 0% target share, 3% carry share, 10% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Kyle Williams (WR102), Darius Cooper (WR103), Skyy Moore (WR105), Elijah Moore (WR106).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · Week 4 WR rankings · Indianapolis Colts projections