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Should I start Elic Ayomanor in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Elic Ayomanor WR63 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TEN vs BAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.9 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 11.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR68 (median 4.9). Standard: WR57 (median 3.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR68 | Sit | 4.9 | 0.0 | 12.2 |
| Half-PPR | WR63 | Sit | 3.9 | 0.0 | 11.1 |
| Standard | WR57 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.7 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 12% target share, 0% carry share, 62% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Brian Thomas Jr. (WR61), Theo Wease Jr. (WR62), Isaiah Williams (WR64), Chris Bell (WR65).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings