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Should I start Isaiah Williams in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYJ vs CHI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Isaiah Williams WR64 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NYJ vs CHI): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.9 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 8.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR62 (median 5.3). Standard: WR69 (median 2.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR62 | Sit | 5.3 | 1.9 | 10.4 |
| Half-PPR | WR64 | Sit | 3.9 | 1.3 | 8.3 |
| Standard | WR69 | Sit | 2.5 | 0.7 | 6.5 |
Game environment: NYJ market-implied team total 19.8 vs 23.2 for CHI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 9% target share, 1% carry share, 77% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Theo Wease Jr. (WR62), Elic Ayomanor (WR63), Chris Bell (WR65), Michael Pittman (WR66).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings