PropPlayers › TE › NYG
Should I start Isaiah Likely in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYG vs ARI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Isaiah Likely TE17 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NYG vs ARI): sit in a 12-team league. Median 5.2 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 12.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE15 (median 7.2). Standard: TE17 (median 3.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE15 | Borderline | 7.2 | 1.8 | 15.1 |
| Half-PPR | TE17 | Sit | 5.2 | 1.3 | 12.1 |
| Standard | TE17 | Sit | 3.3 | 0.7 | 9.4 |
Game environment: NYG market-implied team total 21.0 vs 23.5 for ARI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 28% target share, 0% carry share, 67% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Cade Otton (TE15), Kenyon Sadiq (TE16), Pat Freiermuth (TE18), Jake Ferguson (TE19).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings