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Jonathan Ward Week 4 projection, props and start/sit
Week 4, 2026 · BAL vs TEN · game projections · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Jonathan Ward in Week 4 unless Derrick Henry is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.2 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB93 | Sit | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
| Half-PPR | RB95 | Sit | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 |
| Standard | RB94 | Sit | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
Game environment: BAL market-implied team total 27.0 vs 15.5 for TEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): CJ Donaldson (RB93), Salvon Ahmed (RB94), Pierre Strong Jr. (RB96), Israel Abanikanda (RB97).
Compare Jonathan Ward with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · Week 4 RB rankings · Baltimore Ravens projections