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Should I start Juwan Johnson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NO vs ATL · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Juwan Johnson TE3 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NO vs ATL): start in a 12-team league. Median 8.5 points, floor 2.2 (p10), ceiling 18.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE4 (median 10.7). Standard: TE3 (median 6.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE4 | Start | 10.7 | 3.0 | 22.1 |
| Half-PPR | TE3 | Start | 8.5 | 2.2 | 18.6 |
| Standard | TE3 | Start | 6.0 | 1.3 | 15.2 |
Game environment: NO market-implied team total 24.8 vs 23.2 for ATL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 15% target share, 0% carry share, 66% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Juwan Johnson vs similar TEs
- Juwan Johnson or Trey McBride? Juwan Johnson outscores Trey McBride in 42% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Juwan Johnson or Oronde Gadsden II? Juwan Johnson outscores Oronde Gadsden II in 44% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Juwan Johnson or Brock Bowers? Juwan Johnson outscores Brock Bowers in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Juwan Johnson or Sam LaPorta? Juwan Johnson outscores Sam LaPorta in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren? Juwan Johnson outscores Tyler Warren in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Trey McBride (TE1), Oronde Gadsden II (TE2), Brock Bowers (TE4), Sam LaPorta (TE5).
Compare Juwan Johnson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings