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Should I start Kyle Pitts in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · ATL vs NO · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Kyle Pitts TE28 in half-PPR for Week 4 (ATL vs NO): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.2 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 9.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE28 (median 4.4). Standard: TE29 (median 2.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE28 | Sit | 4.4 | 0.0 | 10.9 |
| Half-PPR | TE28 | Sit | 3.2 | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| Standard | TE29 | Sit | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.2 |
Game environment: ATL market-implied team total 23.2 vs 24.8 for NO (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 8% target share, 0% carry share, 53% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Greg Dulcich (TE26), Gunnar Helm (TE27), Zach Ertz (TE29), Darnell Washington (TE30).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings