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Should I start Michael Wilson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · ARI vs NYG · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Michael Wilson WR38 in half-PPR for Week 4 (ARI vs NYG): sit in a 12-team league. Median 6.3 points, floor 1.7 (p10), ceiling 13.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR37 (median 8.2). Standard: WR42 (median 4.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR37 | Sit | 8.2 | 2.4 | 16.1 |
| Half-PPR | WR38 | Sit | 6.3 | 1.7 | 13.3 |
| Standard | WR42 | Sit | 4.3 | 0.9 | 10.6 |
Game environment: ARI market-implied team total 23.5 vs 21.0 for NYG (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 27% target share, 0% carry share, 91% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Devaughn Vele (WR36), Khalil Shakir (WR37), Ladd McConkey (WR39), Jaylen Waddle (WR40).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings