PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Alvin Kamara or Emanuel Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?
· Alvin Kamara: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Alvin Kamara edges Emanuel Wilson, outscoring him in 53.7% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Alvin Kamara (59%). Standard: Emanuel Wilson (52%). Need a safe floor? Alvin Kamara (p10 3.3). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 18.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Alvin Kamara | 59% | RB18 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 19.7 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 41% | RB25 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 18.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Alvin Kamara | 54% | RB19 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 17.9 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 46% | RB21 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 18.3 | |
| Standard | Alvin Kamara | 48% | RB21 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 16.2 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 52% | RB18 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 18.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.