PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Dalton Schultz or Cade Otton: who should I start in Week 4?
· Dalton Schultz: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cade Otton: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Dalton Schultz edges Cade Otton, outscoring him in 53.4% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Dalton Schultz (p10 1.6). Need upside? Dalton Schultz (p85 14.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Dalton Schultz | 53% | TE13 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 17.1 |
| Cade Otton | 47% | TE14 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 15.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Dalton Schultz | 53% | TE13 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 14.1 |
| Cade Otton | 47% | TE14 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 12.5 | |
| Standard | Dalton Schultz | 54% | TE12 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 11.0 |
| Cade Otton | 46% | TE14 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 9.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.