PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Dalton Schultz or Hunter Henry: who should I start in Week 4?
· Dalton Schultz: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Dalton Schultz edges Hunter Henry, outscoring him in 52.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Dalton Schultz (p10 1.7). Need upside? Dalton Schultz (p85 13.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Dalton Schultz | 53% | TE10 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 17.1 |
| Hunter Henry | 47% | TE11 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 16.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Dalton Schultz | 52% | TE10 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 13.9 |
| Hunter Henry | 48% | TE11 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 13.9 | |
| Standard | Dalton Schultz | 51% | TE10 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 10.9 |
| Hunter Henry | 49% | TE11 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 11.1 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.