PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Emanuel Wilson or Bhayshul Tuten: who should I start in Week 4?
· Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Bhayshul Tuten: JAC vs CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bhayshul Tuten edges Emanuel Wilson, outscoring him in 50.9% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Bhayshul Tuten (52%). Standard: Emanuel Wilson (51%). Need a safe floor? Bhayshul Tuten (p10 2.8). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 17.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 48% | RB26 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 17.3 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 52% | RB23 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 16.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 49% | RB21 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 17.0 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 51% | RB22 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 15.3 | |
| Standard | Emanuel Wilson | 51% | RB18 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 16.7 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 49% | RB22 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 14.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.