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Start/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE

Kenyon Sadiq or Hunter Henry: who should I start in Week 4?

· Kenyon Sadiq: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

START KENYON SADIQCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 4: Kenyon Sadiq edges Hunter Henry, outscoring him in 53.3% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (54%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Kenyon Sadiq (p10 1.7). Need upside? Kenyon Sadiq (p85 14.0).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRKenyon Sadiq54%TE98.62.417.3
Hunter Henry46%TE117.81.916.6
Half-PPRKenyon Sadiq53%TE96.51.714.0
Hunter Henry47%TE115.91.413.9
StandardKenyon Sadiq53%TE84.41.011.0
Hunter Henry47%TE114.00.811.1

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.