PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Tetairoa McMillan or Drake London: who should I start in Week 4?
· Tetairoa McMillan: CAR vs DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Drake London: ATL vs NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Drake London edges Tetairoa McMillan, outscoring him in 50.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (50%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Drake London (p10 4.5). Need upside? Tetairoa McMillan (p85 23.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Tetairoa McMillan | 50% | WR9 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 27.6 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR8 | 15.3 | 5.9 | 27.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Tetairoa McMillan | 50% | WR7 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 23.7 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR8 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 23.6 | |
| Standard | Tetairoa McMillan | 50% | WR6 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 20.0 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR8 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 19.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.