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Should I start Bucky Irving in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TB vs GB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Bucky Irving RB15 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TB vs GB): start in a 12-team league. Median 11.4 points, floor 4.8 (p10), ceiling 20.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB12 (median 13.2). Standard: RB16 (median 9.7).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB12 | Start | 13.2 | 5.7 | 22.5 |
| Half-PPR | RB15 | Start | 11.4 | 4.8 | 20.3 |
| Standard | RB16 | Start | 9.7 | 3.6 | 18.1 |
Game environment: TB market-implied team total 18.0 vs 21.0 for GB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 17% target share, 61% carry share, 64% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Bucky Irving vs similar RBs
- Bucky Irving or Chuba Hubbard? Bucky Irving outscores Chuba Hubbard in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bucky Irving or Chase Brown? Bucky Irving outscores Chase Brown in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bucky Irving or Javonte Williams? Bucky Irving outscores Javonte Williams in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bucky Irving or D'Andre Swift? Bucky Irving outscores D'Andre Swift in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bucky Irving or Jeremiyah Love? Bucky Irving outscores Jeremiyah Love in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bucky Irving or Alvin Kamara? Bucky Irving outscores Alvin Kamara in 59% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Chase Brown (RB13), Javonte Williams (RB14), D'Andre Swift (RB16), Jeremiyah Love (RB17).
Compare Bucky Irving with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings