PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Javonte Williams or Bucky Irving: who should I start in Week 4?
· Javonte Williams: DAL vs HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Bucky Irving: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bucky Irving edges Javonte Williams, outscoring him in 50.4% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Bucky Irving (51%). Standard: Javonte Williams (51%). Need a safe floor? Bucky Irving (p10 4.8). Need upside? Javonte Williams (p85 20.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Javonte Williams | 49% | RB15 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 22.8 |
| Bucky Irving | 51% | RB12 | 13.2 | 5.7 | 22.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Javonte Williams | 50% | RB14 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 20.9 |
| Bucky Irving | 50% | RB15 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 20.3 | |
| Standard | Javonte Williams | 51% | RB14 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 19.3 |
| Bucky Irving | 49% | RB16 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 18.1 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.