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Should I start Deshaun Watson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CLE vs PIT · kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Deshaun Watson QB10 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CLE vs PIT): start in a 12-team league. Median 16.9 points, floor 9.5 (p10), ceiling 25.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB10 (median 16.9). Standard: QB10 (median 16.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB10 | Start | 16.9 | 9.5 | 25.8 |
| Half-PPR | QB10 | Start | 16.9 | 9.5 | 25.8 |
| Standard | QB10 | Start | 16.9 | 9.5 | 25.8 |
Close calls: Deshaun Watson vs similar QBs
- Deshaun Watson or Jared Goff? Deshaun Watson outscores Jared Goff in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Tyson Bagent? Deshaun Watson outscores Tyson Bagent in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Marcus Mariota? Deshaun Watson outscores Marcus Mariota in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Joe Burrow? Deshaun Watson outscores Joe Burrow in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Dak Prescott? Deshaun Watson outscores Dak Prescott in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or C.J. Stroud? Deshaun Watson outscores C.J. Stroud in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Tyson Bagent (QB8), Marcus Mariota (QB9), Joe Burrow (QB11), Dak Prescott (QB12).
Compare Deshaun Watson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings