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Should I start Deshaun Watson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CLE vs PIT · kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Deshaun Watson QB15 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CLE vs PIT): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 16.1 points, floor 9.2 (p10), ceiling 24.4 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB15 (median 16.1). Standard: QB15 (median 16.1).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB15 | Borderline | 16.1 | 9.2 | 24.4 |
| Half-PPR | QB15 | Borderline | 16.1 | 9.2 | 24.4 |
| Standard | QB15 | Borderline | 16.1 | 9.2 | 24.4 |
Close calls: Deshaun Watson vs similar QBs
- Deshaun Watson or Daniel Jones? Deshaun Watson outscores Daniel Jones in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Jacoby Brissett? Deshaun Watson outscores Jacoby Brissett in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Drake Maye? Deshaun Watson outscores Drake Maye in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Deshaun Watson or Dak Prescott? Deshaun Watson outscores Dak Prescott in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Jacoby Brissett (QB13), Drake Maye (QB14), Dak Prescott (QB16), Jalen Hurts (QB17).
Compare Deshaun Watson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings