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Should I start George Kittle in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SF vs DEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks George Kittle TE10 in half-PPR for Week 4 (SF vs DEN): start in a 12-team league. Median 6.3 points, floor 1.1 (p10), ceiling 15.4 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE12 (median 8.0). Standard: TE10 (median 4.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE12 | Start | 8.0 | 1.6 | 18.0 |
| Half-PPR | TE10 | Start | 6.3 | 1.1 | 15.4 |
| Standard | TE10 | Start | 4.4 | 0.6 | 13.1 |
Game environment: SF market-implied team total 25.5 vs 23.0 for DEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 20% target share, 0% carry share, 60% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: George Kittle vs similar TEs
- George Kittle or Travis Kelce? George Kittle outscores Travis Kelce in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- George Kittle or Dalton Kincaid? George Kittle outscores Dalton Kincaid in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- George Kittle or Zach Ertz? George Kittle outscores Zach Ertz in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- George Kittle or Harold Fannin Jr.? George Kittle outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- George Kittle or T.J. Hockenson? George Kittle outscores T.J. Hockenson in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- George Kittle or Hunter Henry? George Kittle outscores Hunter Henry in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Dalton Kincaid (TE8), Zach Ertz (TE9), Harold Fannin Jr. (TE11), T.J. Hockenson (TE12).
Compare George Kittle with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings