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Should I start Mike Evans in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SF vs DEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Mike Evans WR34 in half-PPR for Week 4 (SF vs DEN): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 5.9 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 13.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR36 (median 7.6). Standard: WR36 (median 4.1).
Q Injury status at export time.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR36 | Borderline | 7.6 | 1.8 | 15.8 |
| Half-PPR | WR34 | Borderline | 5.9 | 1.3 | 13.3 |
| Standard | WR36 | Borderline | 4.1 | 0.7 | 10.8 |
Game environment: SF market-implied team total 25.5 vs 23.0 for DEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 19% target share, 0% carry share, 54% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Malik Nabers (WR32), Courtland Sutton (WR33), Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR35), Matthew Golden (WR36).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings