PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Rashee Rice or Kalif Raymond: who should I start in Week 4?
· Rashee Rice: KC vs LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Kalif Raymond: CHI vs NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Rashee Rice edges Kalif Raymond, outscoring him in 51.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Kalif Raymond (50%). Standard: Rashee Rice (53%). Need a safe floor? Kalif Raymond (p10 3.3). Need upside? Rashee Rice (p85 20.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Rashee Rice | 50% | WR17 | 12.3 | 4.0 | 23.5 |
| Kalif Raymond | 50% | WR18 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 22.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Rashee Rice | 51% | WR17 | 9.9 | 2.9 | 20.1 |
| Kalif Raymond | 49% | WR18 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 18.5 | |
| Standard | Rashee Rice | 53% | WR17 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 16.8 |
| Kalif Raymond | 47% | WR22 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 14.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.