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Should I start Rashee Rice in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · KC vs LV · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Rashee Rice WR9 in half-PPR for Week 4 (KC vs LV): start in a 12-team league. Median 11.6 points, floor 3.9 (p10), ceiling 22.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR9 (median 14.4). Standard: WR8 (median 8.7).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR9 | Start | 14.4 | 5.3 | 25.9 |
| Half-PPR | WR9 | Start | 11.6 | 3.9 | 22.0 |
| Standard | WR8 | Start | 8.7 | 2.4 | 18.2 |
Game environment: KC market-implied team total 26.2 vs 21.8 for LV (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 20% target share, 0% carry share, 80% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Rashee Rice vs similar WRs
- Rashee Rice or CeeDee Lamb? Rashee Rice outscores CeeDee Lamb in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Rashee Rice outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Garrett Wilson? Rashee Rice outscores Garrett Wilson in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Chris Olave? Rashee Rice outscores Chris Olave in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Nico Collins? Rashee Rice outscores Nico Collins in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Christian Watson? Rashee Rice outscores Christian Watson in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR7), Garrett Wilson (WR8), Chris Olave (WR10), Nico Collins (WR11).
Compare Rashee Rice with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings