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Should I start Rashee Rice in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · KC vs LV · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Rashee Rice WR17 in half-PPR for Week 4 (KC vs LV): start in a 12-team league. Median 9.9 points, floor 2.9 (p10), ceiling 20.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR17 (median 12.3). Standard: WR17 (median 7.6).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR17 | Start | 12.3 | 4.0 | 23.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR17 | Start | 9.9 | 2.9 | 20.1 |
| Standard | WR17 | Start | 7.6 | 1.7 | 16.8 |
Game environment: KC market-implied team total 26.2 vs 21.8 for LV (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 20% target share, 0% carry share, 80% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Rashee Rice vs similar WRs
- Rashee Rice or Christian Watson? Rashee Rice outscores Christian Watson in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Drake London? Rashee Rice outscores Drake London in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Tetairoa McMillan? Rashee Rice outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Rashee Rice or Kalif Raymond? Rashee Rice outscores Kalif Raymond in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Drake London (WR15), Tetairoa McMillan (WR16), Kalif Raymond (WR18), Tee Higgins (WR19).
Compare Rashee Rice with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings