PropPlayers › WR › NO
Should I start Chris Olave in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NO vs ATL · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Chris Olave WR10 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NO vs ATL): start in a 12-team league. Median 11.4 points, floor 3.9 (p10), ceiling 22.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR10 (median 14.2). Standard: WR10 (median 8.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR10 | Start | 14.2 | 5.4 | 26.4 |
| Half-PPR | WR10 | Start | 11.4 | 3.9 | 22.5 |
| Standard | WR10 | Start | 8.5 | 2.4 | 18.5 |
Game environment: NO market-implied team total 24.8 vs 23.2 for ATL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 30% target share, 0% carry share, 85% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Chris Olave vs similar WRs
- Chris Olave or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Chris Olave outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? Chris Olave outscores Garrett Wilson in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Rashee Rice? Chris Olave outscores Rashee Rice in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Nico Collins? Chris Olave outscores Nico Collins in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Christian Watson? Chris Olave outscores Christian Watson in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Drake London? Chris Olave outscores Drake London in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Garrett Wilson (WR8), Rashee Rice (WR9), Nico Collins (WR11), Christian Watson (WR12).
Compare Chris Olave with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings