PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Rashee Rice or Chris Olave: who should I start in Week 4?
· Rashee Rice: KC vs LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Chris Olave: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Chris Olave edges Rashee Rice, outscoring him in 50.2% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (50%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Rashee Rice (p10 3.9). Need upside? Chris Olave (p85 22.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Rashee Rice | 50% | WR9 | 14.4 | 5.3 | 25.9 |
| Chris Olave | 50% | WR10 | 14.2 | 5.4 | 26.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Rashee Rice | 50% | WR9 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 22.0 |
| Chris Olave | 50% | WR10 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 22.5 | |
| Standard | Rashee Rice | 50% | WR8 | 8.7 | 2.4 | 18.2 |
| Chris Olave | 50% | WR10 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 18.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.