PropWeek 4 games › PIT at CLE
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · final: numbers below are the pre-kickoff projections ·
Our model projects Jaylen Warren (PIT vs CLE) for a median 75 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 40-143) and 19 receiving yards (10th-90th percentile 0-60) in Week 4. Our model projects Deshaun Watson (CLE vs PIT) for a median 206 passing yards (10th-90th percentile 129-300) and 28 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 7-56) in Week 4.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB8 | Jaylen Warren | CLE | 15.1 | 6.7 | 25.9 | 16.6 | 13.6 | 75 rushing yards, 19 receiving yards |
| QB25 | Aaron Rodgers | CLE | 12.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 216 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| WR22 | DK Metcalf | CLE | 8.6 | 2.6 | 17.0 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 47 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR49 | Michael Pittman | CLE | 5.2 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 30 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE21 | Pat Freiermuth | CLE | 4.2 | 0.7 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 22 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR68 | Roman Wilson | CLE | 3.2 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 18 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| TE32 | Darnell Washington | CLE | 3.0 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | |
| WR78 | Germie Bernard | CLE | 2.5 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | |
| RB87 | Travis Homer (limited) | CLE | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | |
| TE90 | Robert Tonyan (limited) | CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR146 | Ben Skowronek (limited) | CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB102 | Lew Nichols III (limited) | CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cleveland Browns
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB15 | Deshaun Watson | PIT | 16.1 | 9.2 | 24.4 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 206 passing yards, 28 rushing yards |
| RB22 | Quinshon Judkins | PIT | 8.4 | 3.0 | 16.4 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 43 rushing yards, 7 receiving yards |
| WR25 | Denzel Boston | PIT | 7.6 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 46 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE12 | Harold Fannin Jr. | PIT | 5.4 | 1.5 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 29 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR55 | KC Concepcion | PIT | 4.5 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 20 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB55 | Raheim Sanders | PIT | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.5 | |
| WR85 | Jerry Jeudy | PIT | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | |
| TE80 | Blake Whiteheart (limited) | PIT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR137 | Malachi Corley (limited) | PIT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR147 | Isaiah Bond (limited) | PIT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board