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Should I start Aaron Rodgers in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · PIT vs CLE · kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Aaron Rodgers QB25 in half-PPR for Week 4 (PIT vs CLE): sit in a 12-team league. Median 12.8 points, floor 6.0 (p10), ceiling 21.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB25 (median 12.8). Standard: QB25 (median 12.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB25 | Sit | 12.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 |
| Half-PPR | QB25 | Sit | 12.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 |
| Standard | QB25 | Sit | 12.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 |
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Sam Darnold (QB23), Malik Willis (QB24), Tyson Bagent (QB26), Kyler Murray (QB27).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings