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Al-Jay Henderson Week 4 projection, props and start/sit
Week 4, 2026 · NYJ vs CHI · game projections · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Al-Jay Henderson in Week 4 unless Braelon Allen is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.7 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 9% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB84 | Sit | 0.8 | -0.1 | 3.3 |
| Half-PPR | RB82 | Sit | 0.7 | -0.1 | 3.1 |
| Standard | RB79 | Sit | 0.6 | -0.1 | 2.9 |
Game environment: NYJ market-implied team total 19.8 vs 23.2 for CHI (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Zavier Scott (RB80), DJ Herman (RB81), Kyle Juszczyk (RB83), Emari Demercado (RB84).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · Week 4 RB rankings · New York Jets projections