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New York Jets Week 4 projections and player props
NYJ at CHI · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · game page · opponent: Chicago Bears ·
The market implies 19.8 points for the New York Jets and 23.2 for Chicago Bears (median of 11 books). Our model projects Geno Smith (NYJ vs CHI) for a median 237 passing yards (FanDuel line 227.5; 10th-90th percentile 139-328) and 8 rushing yards (FanDuel line 10.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-30) in Week 4. Our model projects Garrett Wilson (NYJ vs CHI) for a median 71 receiving yards (FanDuel line 75.5; 10th-90th percentile 28-147) and 7 receptions (FanDuel line 6.5; 10th-90th percentile 3-11) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB22 | Geno Smith | CHI | 14.1 | 6.9 | 22.6 | 14.1 | 14.1 | 237 passing yards, 8 rushing yards |
| WR8 | Garrett Wilson | CHI | 12.0 | 4.9 | 21.7 | 15.4 | 8.5 | 71 receiving yards, 7 receptions |
| RB27 | Braelon Allen | CHI | 7.5 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 30 rushing yards, 7 receiving yards |
| TE9 | Kenyon SadiqQ | CHI | 6.5 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 38 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR61 | Isaiah Williams | CHI | 4.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 20 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE31 | Jeremy Ruckert (limited) | CHI | 3.1 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 2.0 | |
| RB46 | Kene Nwangwu | CHI | 2.9 | 0.3 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 22 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| RB56 | Isaiah Davis | CHI | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | |
| WR95 | Tyler Johnson (limited) | CHI | 1.4 | 0.0 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | |
| RB80 | Al-Jay Henderson (limited) | CHI | 0.7 | -0.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | |
| WR135 | Sterling Shepard (limited) | CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE69 | Jelani Woods (limited) | CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR128 | Malik McClain (limited) | CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board