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Should I start Kyren Williams in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · LAR vs PHI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Kyren Williams RB10 in half-PPR for Week 4 (LAR vs PHI): start in a 12-team league. Median 13.4 points, floor 5.3 (p10), ceiling 24.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB10 (median 14.6). Standard: RB10 (median 12.2).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB10 | Start | 14.6 | 5.9 | 25.9 |
| Half-PPR | RB10 | Start | 13.4 | 5.3 | 24.6 |
| Standard | RB10 | Start | 12.2 | 4.7 | 23.3 |
Game environment: LAR market-implied team total 23.0 vs 19.5 for PHI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 11% target share, 51% carry share, 63% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Kyren Williams vs similar RBs
- Kyren Williams or Jaylen Warren? Kyren Williams outscores Jaylen Warren in 44% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Kyren Williams or Jonathan Taylor? Kyren Williams outscores Jonathan Taylor in 45% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Kyren Williams or Christian McCaffrey? Kyren Williams outscores Christian McCaffrey in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Kyren Williams or Ashton Jeanty? Kyren Williams outscores Ashton Jeanty in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Kyren Williams or Chuba Hubbard? Kyren Williams outscores Chuba Hubbard in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Kyren Williams or Chase Brown? Kyren Williams outscores Chase Brown in 56% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Jonathan Taylor (RB8), Christian McCaffrey (RB9), Ashton Jeanty (RB11), Chuba Hubbard (RB12).
Compare Kyren Williams with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings