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Should I start Jonathan Taylor in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · IND vs WAS · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jonathan Taylor RB8 in half-PPR for Week 4 (IND vs WAS): start in a 12-team league. Median 15.0 points, floor 6.6 (p10), ceiling 26.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB7 (median 16.3). Standard: RB7 (median 13.7).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB7 | Start | 16.3 | 7.4 | 27.7 |
| Half-PPR | RB8 | Start | 15.0 | 6.6 | 26.2 |
| Standard | RB7 | Start | 13.7 | 5.8 | 24.7 |
Game environment: IND market-implied team total 25.5 vs 21.0 for WAS (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 12% target share, 81% carry share, 89% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Jonathan Taylor vs similar RBs
- Jonathan Taylor or James Cook III? Jonathan Taylor outscores James Cook III in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jonathan Taylor or Derrick Henry? Jonathan Taylor outscores Derrick Henry in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jonathan Taylor or Jaylen Warren? Jonathan Taylor outscores Jaylen Warren in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jonathan Taylor or Christian McCaffrey? Jonathan Taylor outscores Christian McCaffrey in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jonathan Taylor or Kyren Williams? Jonathan Taylor outscores Kyren Williams in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jonathan Taylor or Ashton Jeanty? Jonathan Taylor outscores Ashton Jeanty in 58% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Derrick Henry (RB6), Jaylen Warren (RB7), Christian McCaffrey (RB9), Kyren Williams (RB10).
Compare Jonathan Taylor with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings