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Dallas Cowboys Week 4 projections and player props

DAL at HOU · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · game page · opponent: Houston Texans · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

The market implies 22.8 points for the Dallas Cowboys and 25.8 for Houston Texans (median of 11 books). Our model projects Dak Prescott (DAL vs HOU) for a median 236 passing yards (FanDuel line 266.5; 10th-90th percentile 142-343) and 12 rushing yards (FanDuel line 9.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-38) in Week 4. Our model projects CeeDee Lamb (DAL vs HOU) for a median 75 receiving yards (FanDuel line 76.5; 10th-90th percentile 27-164) and 6 receptions (FanDuel line 5.5; 10th-90th percentile 2-10) in Week 4.

Rank	Player	Opp	Half-PPR median	Floor p10	Ceiling p85	PPR median	Std median	Key stats (median)
QB14	Dak Prescott	HOU	16.3	8.8	24.9	16.3	16.3	236 passing yards, 12 rushing yards
WR7	CeeDee Lamb	HOU	12.3	4.4	23.2	15.2	9.5	75 receiving yards, 6 receptions
RB15	Javonte Williams	HOU	11.9	4.7	22.1	13.2	10.7	57 rushing yards, 9 receiving yards
WR16	George Pickens	HOU	9.8	3.1	19.0	12.3	7.3	56 receiving yards, 5 receptions
TE19	Jake Ferguson	HOU	4.4	0.9	11.3	6.1	2.6	21 receiving yards, 3 receptions
WR57	Ryan Flournoy	HOU	4.3	1.4	10.1	5.7	2.9	22 receiving yards, 2 receptions
RB62	Tyler Goodson	HOU	1.5	0.0	5.6	1.7	1.2
WR109	KaVontae Turpin (limited)	HOU	0.2	0.0	3.0	0.3	0.0
RB97	Israel Abanikanda (limited)	HOU	0.2	0.0	1.8	0.2	0.1
RB112	Hunter Luepke (limited)	HOU	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.0	0.0
TE83	Luke Schoonmaker (limited)	HOU	0.0	0.0	1.3	0.0	0.0
TE72	Brevyn Spann-Ford (limited)	HOU	0.0	0.0	1.6	0.0	0.0
WR151	Jonathan Mingo (limited)	HOU	0.0	0.0	1.2	0.0	0.0
WR131	Anthony Smith (limited)	HOU	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0

Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.

Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board