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San Francisco 49ers Week 4 projections and player props
DEN at SF · Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · game page · opponent: Denver Broncos ·
The market implies 25.5 points for the San Francisco 49ers and 23.0 for Denver Broncos (median of 11 books). Our model projects Brock Purdy (SF vs DEN) for a median 240 passing yards (FanDuel line 233.5; 10th-90th percentile 145-350) and 16 rushing yards (FanDuel line 17.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-44) in Week 4. Our model projects Christian McCaffrey (SF vs DEN) for a median 50 rushing yards (FanDuel line 65.5; 10th-90th percentile 23-106) and 30 receiving yards (FanDuel line 41.5; 10th-90th percentile 4-77) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB8 | Brock Purdy | DEN | 16.8 | 8.9 | 26.7 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 240 passing yards, 16 rushing yards |
| RB7 | Christian McCaffrey | DEN | 16.0 | 6.5 | 27.4 | 18.1 | 13.7 | 50 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards |
| TE2 | George Kittle | DEN | 9.1 | 2.7 | 18.8 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 51 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| WR34 | Mike EvansQ | DEN | 6.4 | 1.5 | 13.8 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 35 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR41 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | DEN | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 29 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB45 | Kaelon Black | DEN | 3.1 | 0.3 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 19 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| WR99 | Jordan Watkins (limited) | DEN | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | |
| RB77 | Jordan James (limited) | DEN | 0.8 | -0.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | |
| RB81 | Kyle Juszczyk (limited) | DEN | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |
| WR138 | Brandin Cooks (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR118 | Jacob Cowing (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE77 | Luke Farrell (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB103 | Sincere McCormick (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board