PropWeek 4 games › DEN at SF
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
The market implies 23.0 points for DEN and 25.5 for SF. Our model projects Bo Nix (DEN vs SF) for a median 235 passing yards (FanDuel line 221.5; 10th-90th percentile 138-326) and 14 rushing yards (FanDuel line 16.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-45) in Week 4. Our model projects Brock Purdy (SF vs DEN) for a median 240 passing yards (FanDuel line 233.5; 10th-90th percentile 145-350) and 16 rushing yards (FanDuel line 17.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-44) in Week 4.
Denver Broncos
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB4 | Bo Nix | SF | 17.6 | 9.2 | 26.8 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 235 passing yards, 14 rushing yards |
| WR23 | Jaylen Waddle | SF | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 50 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| RB25 | J.K. Dobbins | SF | 8.2 | 3.0 | 16.9 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 50 rushing yards, 2 receiving yards |
| WR35 | Courtland Sutton | SF | 6.3 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 33 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB32 | RJ Harvey | SF | 5.8 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 11 rushing yards, 18 receiving yards |
| WR69 | Pat Bryant | SF | 3.1 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 2.2 | |
| TE38 | Evan Engram | SF | 2.7 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 14 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| TE48 | Nate Adkins (limited) | SF | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | |
| WR100 | Troy Franklin (limited) | SF | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | |
| TE53 | Lucas Krull (limited) | SF | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| RB75 | Tyler Badie (limited) | SF | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | |
| RB100 | Cody Schrader (limited) | SF | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| QB33 | Jarrett Stidham (backup) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR126 | Marvin Mims Jr. (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE64 | Adam Trautman (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR127 | Michael Bandy (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco 49ers
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB8 | Brock Purdy | DEN | 16.8 | 8.9 | 26.7 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 240 passing yards, 16 rushing yards |
| RB7 | Christian McCaffrey | DEN | 16.0 | 6.5 | 27.4 | 18.1 | 13.7 | 50 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards |
| TE2 | George Kittle | DEN | 9.1 | 2.7 | 18.8 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 51 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| WR34 | Mike EvansQ | DEN | 6.4 | 1.5 | 13.8 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 35 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR41 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | DEN | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 29 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB45 | Kaelon Black | DEN | 3.1 | 0.3 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 19 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| WR99 | Jordan Watkins (limited) | DEN | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | |
| RB77 | Jordan James (limited) | DEN | 0.8 | -0.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | |
| RB81 | Kyle Juszczyk (limited) | DEN | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |
| WR138 | Brandin Cooks (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR118 | Jacob Cowing (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE77 | Luke Farrell (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB103 | Sincere McCormick (limited) | DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board