PropWeek 4 games › ATL at NO
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
The market implies 23.2 points for ATL and 24.8 for NO. Our model projects Bijan Robinson (ATL vs NO) for a median 90 rushing yards (FanDuel line 85.5; 10th-90th percentile 53-162) and 28 receiving yards (FanDuel line 39.5; 10th-90th percentile 3-75) in Week 4. Our model projects Tyler Shough (NO vs ATL) for a median 239 passing yards (FanDuel line 254.5; 10th-90th percentile 140-331) and 17 rushing yards (FanDuel line 16.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-46) in Week 4.
Atlanta Falcons
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB1 | Bijan Robinson | NO | 20.4 | 9.8 | 33.2 | 22.2 | 18.5 | 90 rushing yards, 28 receiving yards |
| QB29 | Michael Penix Jr. | NO | 12.0 | 5.3 | 21.4 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 202 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| WR18 | Drake London | NO | 9.6 | 2.8 | 19.8 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 58 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| RB41 | Brian Robinson | NO | 3.7 | 0.7 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 25 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE26 | Kyle Pitts | NO | 3.4 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 18 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR91 | Jahan Dotson | NO | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | |
| WR108 | Olamide Zaccheaus (limited) | NO | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | |
| TE58 | Austin Hooper (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE85 | Charlie Woerner (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR133 | Zachariah Branch (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
New Orleans Saints
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB3 | Tyler Shough | ATL | 19.0 | 10.3 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 239 passing yards, 17 rushing yards |
| WR10 | Chris Olave | ATL | 11.5 | 4.0 | 22.1 | 14.3 | 8.7 | 63 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| RB24 | Alvin Kamara | ATL | 8.3 | 2.7 | 16.8 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 37 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards |
| WR47 | Devaughn Vele | ATL | 5.4 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 28 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE15 | Juwan Johnson | ATL | 5.2 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 27 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB43 | Kendre Miller | ATL | 3.4 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 19 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE40 | Noah FantQ (limited) | ATL | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | |
| WR92 | Bryce Lance (limited) | ATL | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | |
| RB93 | CJ Donaldson (limited) | ATL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
| WR141 | Kevin Austin Jr. (limited) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE86 | Oscar Delp (limited) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board